THE PEACE EQUATION

war-and-peace

Science Fiction: Published 1951 by Isaac Azimov

mathematician Hari Seldon spent his life developing a branch of mathematics known as psychohistory, a concept of mathematical sociology. Using the laws of mass action, it can predict the future, but only on a large scale.[i]

GAME THEORY: (NON-FICTION)

the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant’s choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants. Game theory has been applied to contexts in war, business, and biology. the branch of mathematics concerned with the analysis of strategies for dealing with competitive situations where the outcome of a participant’s choice of action depends critically on the actions of other participants. Game theory has been applied to contexts in war, business, and biology.[ii]

APPLIED GAME THEORY

“Mathematicians and social scientists (in particular, economists) have tried to analyze the myriad of Cold War nuclear strategies with the use of a mathematical concept known as Game Theory (to find out more about Game Theory and its background, click: What is Game Theory or History of Game Theory). In particular, the game theorists have focused in on a game know n as “chicken.”[iii]

Game theoretic analysis enables analysts to see how an intelligent opponent is likely to behave in a given situation and which side is likely to win. If both sides correctly ascertain the situation, then the losing side may decide not to participate. For example, in a simple SEAD encounter, the defender might decide that preserving his SAMs is more important than attempting to shoot down strike aircraft if his chances of inflicting heavy losses on the attacker are small. Insights such as these help military planners to understand how much capability they would need to achieve the best outcome for their side.[iv]

THE MATHEMATICS OF WAR (SEAN GOURLEY, THE TED SHOW)

ted-war

 

 

[i]  Foundation, Isaac Azimov, (From Wikipedia)
[ii] game theory definition, Google Search
[iii] CBC.NET, Game Theory and Cold War Nuclear Confrontation, Part I
[iv] RAND CORPORATION, Using Game Theory to Analyze Operations Against Time-Critical Targets

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